Hollywood Park Race Track - May 25, 2008 R8The Cinderella 75k I am going to take a stand against the two horses listed as the favorites on the ML, Atka and Trifecta King at 2-1 and 5/2, respectively. Atka and Upper Manhattan (12-1ML) ran the same distance on 4/30 in races 30 minutes apart. Atka did run faster but a view of the stretch in Upper Manhattan's race reveals that the horse was all over the racetrack in the final 1/8, shifting out about 1 1/2 to 2 lengths, and then shifting back in, causing her to run an extra 3 lengths or so, which actually puts her a couple lengths ahead of Atka after that adjustment, and 12-1 sounds alot better than 2-1. Upper Manhattan clearly outran Call Aly in that 4/30 race as she was about a length behind at the 1/16 pole, and despite Upper Manhattan running about a few lengths more that final 1/16 and still beating Call Aly by a few lengths, I think Call Aly improved from that race to her last. For one thing she beat a horse named Monte Rosa by 3 1/4 lengths on 4/30 and beat that one by 6 1/4 lengths on 5/14. Furthermore, she came home a better 1/4 mile and final 1/16th in her last one than in the race against Upper Manhattan. Got Tobe Rio and Gonging Wild have only run 2F races so its anyones guess how they will do here but Got Tobe Rio did show a nice 5F bullet drill for her last work, and Gonging Wild did run a 20 and 4 2F race, running a very good second furlong. Either is possible, but since they have never stretched out I am going to be cautious here. Trifecta King I will stand against. His 5/15 race didn't impress me greatly either in terms of final quarter mile run or final 1/16th run. Call Aly ran a better final quarter mile the previous day on 5/14. I'll take my chances against. Win Place
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