Hollywood Park Race Track - July 10, 2008 R1

Hollywood Park
July 10, 2008 Race 1

Today's analysis is going to be fairly basic. At 11:55AM, with almost 90 minutes to post, Haven's Lake is 3/5, and I think she might be beatable.

Based on GiftHorseRacing Speed Figures (to be made available later this year), the 79 that Haven's Lake received on 4/20 may be closer to a 75. And Proud Garrison's 77 receivedon 6/8 may be closer to 79.

Furthermore, Haven's Lake beat Almacita by 2 1/2 lengths on 4/20, but Proud Garrison finished 5 1/4 lengths ahead of Almacita on 6/8 (who got 4th).

Based on these two factors, and given that Haven's Lake is currently 3/5 (though she may float up a bit), and that Proud Garrison is currently 7/2, I think a win on Proud Garrison may be worth a shot. They are also both trained by Jeff Mullins.

The rest don't have the figures to be competitive, unless of course they take a big step up.

Win
Proud Garrison (2)

Exacta (Box)
Proud Garrison, Haven's Lake (1)