Hollywood Park November27, 2008

Hollywood Park November27, 2008
Race can be seen on tvgnetwork, post 1:30 PST

Race 6 Pick: Tizzy's Tune. I actually liked this horse at 40-1 in the Breeders Cup filly and mare sprint. And if you take out Ventura who won the race by 4 lengths, she only got beat by 3 1/2 lengths and finished ahead of alot of good horses, including multiple G1 winner Intangaroo by a nose, G3 Las Flores winner Tiz Elemental, and G1 La Brea and G2 A Gleam winner Dearest Trickski. This in addition to finishing just 1 1/4 lengths behind G1 Acorn winner Zaftig. This horse is a quality horse, and based on GHR numbers this one is the strongest of the southern california horses here. I picked Foxy Danseur in the Cascapedia last time on 10/26 and even though the purse was higher than today's, the waters are deeper here. BSharpsonata is an X factor, I don't have my own speed figures for the circuits she has been running over, so I have to go based on the Beyer Speed Figures. She looks to be a 90 type, of course you never know how these 3 year olds will improve late in the year. She gets top class connections in Pletcher and Gomez but not enough to entice at 3-1.

Tizzy's Tune is a good play at 5-1 ML. You get Bob Baffert, and Alex Solis is solid. If anything, would play Tizzy's tune at least to place, especially since she should get a clear run breaking from the 6 post.

I looked at Peppermint Lounge's last race, and checked out the GHR Numbers for the horses that ran close to her, Synnin and Grinnin and Petite Cherie - Peppermint Lounge needs to step it up a few lengths from her last effort.

It might be worth playing Coco Belle at 8-1 underneath in the exacta.

Happy Thanksgiving, lets hope its Happy Thanks-taking for you.